TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058927
Played Sep 2Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911511––––
Petr Osvald
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:06 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 59.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 1–2 Petr Osvald Vitezslav Bosak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:06What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1450 vs Osvald 1508
Osvald
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 80% vs Osvald 20%
Bosak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 60% vs Osvald 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -1 · Osvald -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 1.91 / Osvald 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Osvald)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058927
Bosak1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 41 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Osvald1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBosak1wins
AwayOsvald2wins
Osvald leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak1Osvald2n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
S2Bosak1Osvald2n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
S3Bosak1Osvald2n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricBosakOsvaldB − OBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match27.331.0−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 347 vs 101 / 20550.1%49.3%174 / 347 vs 101 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldBosak 1.91/Osvald 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak—9950P. Osvald—1111113
LJul 18 · 06:30V. Bosak—48110P. Osvald—1111133
WJun 6 · 08:00V. Bosak—1213113P. Osvald—101140
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113LAug 27 · 20:30T. Milota1.611111123P. Osvald2.2064100LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
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