TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065215
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111210115911511
Radim Adam
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Petr Osvald at 63.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 10–4 Radim Adam Radim Adam has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Osvald
Wrong
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1512 vs Adam 1565
Adam
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 60% vs Adam 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 50% vs Adam 80%
Adam
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +2 · Adam -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.50 / Adam 2.45
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Osvald)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065215
Osvald1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Adam2.45
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 38 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsvald7wins
AwayAdam3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOsvald leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdam66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald7Adam3n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S2Osvald7Adam3n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S3Osvald7Adam3n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S4Osvald4Adam3n = 7Osvald took 4 of 7
S5Osvald2Adam3n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsvaldAdamO − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.235.6+6.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 207 vs 191 / 37049.3%51.6%102 / 207 vs 191 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.50/Adam 2.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald—71211952R. Adam—1110511113
WSep 2 · 12:00P. Osvald—11411123R. Adam—7116101
WApr 30 · 18:30P. Osvald—111188113R. Adam—87111162
WApr 24 · 10:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Adam—3460
WMar 18 · 09:58P. Osvald—11129113R. Adam—8101141
WMar 18 · 09:00P. Osvald—811119123R. Adam—117611102
LMar 14 · 21:30P. Osvald—127111172R. Adam—141168113
LMar 11 · 09:30P. Osvald—1110811102R. Adam—712115123
WFeb 15 · 22:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Adam—8970
WFeb 15 · 19:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Adam—8470
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113LAug 27 · 20:30T. Milota1.611111123P. Osvald2.2064100LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:00R. Adam1.251012112113V. Bosak3.75121071192LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113WAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
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