TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082926
Played Sep 6Finished
Radim Adam
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121191012511––
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 80 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 24–34 Marek Blejchar Radim Adam has won 24 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:11What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-34 in 58
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 10 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1580 vs Blejchar 1511
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 80% vs Blejchar 20%
Adam
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 80% vs Blejchar 30%
Adam
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +3 · Blejchar -1
Adam
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.83 / Blejchar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adam)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082926
Adam1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Blejchar1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam4wins
AwayBlejchar6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBlejchar62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam2Blejchar8n = 10Blejchar took 8 of 10
S2Adam6Blejchar4n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S3Adam4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S4Adam3Blejchar6n = 9Blejchar took 6 of 9
S5Adam3Blejchar1n = 4Adam took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamBlejcharA − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.342.6−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 371 vs 314 / 66052%47.6%193 / 371 vs 314 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.83/Blejchar 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 17:30R. Adam—711115143M. Blejchar—118811122
LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam—10111051M. Blejchar—12912113
LAug 22 · 15:30R. Adam—71060M. Blejchar—1112113
LAug 21 · 10:30R. Adam—981171M. Blejchar—11118113
WAug 9 · 17:30R. Adam—111157113M. Blejchar—98111172
WAug 9 · 15:30R. Adam—91111113M. Blejchar—119551
LJun 19 · 16:00R. Adam—51710101M. Blejchar—111512123
LJun 13 · 21:30R. Adam—31261182M. Blejchar—1110117113
LJun 13 · 18:00R. Adam—115871M. Blejchar—91111113
WJun 7 · 21:30R. Adam—8101111113M. Blejchar—11125382
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:00R. Adam1.251012112113V. Bosak3.75121071192LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113WAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113
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