TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082927
Played Sep 6Finished
Patrik Hanel
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1513119911411106
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePatrik Hanel to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Hanel above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-6
Point 99 set 5, 10-6 — our read held Patrik Hanel at 55.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Hanel 1–1 Marek Blejchar Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Blejchar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hanel 1542 vs Blejchar 1511
Hanel
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanel 40% vs Blejchar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanel 50% vs Blejchar 30%
Hanel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanel -1 · Blejchar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanel 2.10 / Blejchar 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Blejchar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082927
Hanel2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 25 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Blejchar1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 90 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it82% 55 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHanel1wins
AwayBlejchar1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHanelBlejcharH − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.046.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanelBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 104 vs 314 / 66049%47.6%51 / 104 vs 314 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharHanel 2.10/Blejchar 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel—151194103M. Blejchar—139111162
LAug 28 · 18:30P. Hanel—1141171M. Blejchar—13117113
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261WAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman1.57811871P. Hanel2.2511911113LAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel1.837611101V. Bosak1.8311114123
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113
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