TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13037367
Played Aug 29Finished
Patrik Hanel
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117115––––
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatrik Hanel above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Hanel 3–3 Vitezslav Bosak Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:01What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bosak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanel 1407 vs Bosak 1421
Bosak
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanel 40% vs Bosak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanel 30% vs Bosak 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanel -2 · Bosak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bosak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanel 1.83 / Bosak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bosak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13037367
Hanel1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Bosak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHanel3wins
AwayBosak3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanel66.7%2 of 3
AwayBosak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanel3Bosak3n = 6split evenly
S2Hanel2Bosak4n = 6Bosak took 4 of 6
S3Hanel4Bosak2n = 6Hanel took 4 of 6
S4Hanel3Bosak2n = 5Hanel took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHanelBosakH − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.337.7+0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanelBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 98 vs 168 / 33546.9%50.2%46 / 98 vs 168 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakHanel 1.83/Bosak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel—7611101V. Bosak—11114123
LAug 22 · 20:00P. Hanel—77111192V. Bosak—111167113
WAug 18 · 19:30P. Hanel—1111113V. Bosak—8970
LAug 10 · 21:00P. Hanel—168591V. Bosak—141111113
WAug 10 · 19:00P. Hanel—851111113V. Bosak—11114942
WMay 24 · 07:00P. Hanel—11111113V. Bosak—781161
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261WAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman1.57811871P. Hanel2.2511911113LAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel1.837611101V. Bosak1.8311114123
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel1.837611101V. Bosak1.8311114123
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