TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13037482
Played Aug 29Finished
Patrik Hanel
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7114111210811––
Radim Adam
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Hanel above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 59.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Hanel 1–3 Radim Adam Patrik Hanel has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Adam
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanel 1453 vs Adam 1549
Adam
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanel 40% vs Adam 80%
Adam
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanel 40% vs Adam 70%
Adam
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanel -1 · Adam +4
Adam
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanel 2.63 / Adam 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Adam)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13037482
Hanel2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 24 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Adam1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 54 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 40 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHanel1wins
AwayAdam3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderAdam leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaneln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAdam100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanel1Adam3n = 4Adam took 3 of 4
S2Hanel1Adam3n = 4Adam took 3 of 4
S3Hanel2Adam2n = 4split evenly
S4Hanel2Adam1n = 3Hanel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHanelAdamH − ABasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.241.0−7.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanelAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 100 vs 188 / 36648%51.4%48 / 100 vs 188 / 366Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamHanel 2.63/Adam 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 21:30P. Hanel—11311113R. Adam—711961
LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel—741281R. Adam—111110113
LAug 13 · 20:00P. Hanel—21571192R. Adam—1113118113
LAug 10 · 18:00P. Hanel—75100R. Adam—1111123
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261WAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman1.57811871P. Hanel2.2511911113LAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel1.837611101V. Bosak1.8311114123
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:00R. Adam1.251012112113V. Bosak3.75121071192LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113
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