TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058383
Played Sep 2Finished
Radim Adam
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121210117211119
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Radim Adam at 63.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 4–1 Vitezslav Bosak Vitezslav Bosak has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Adam
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1549 vs Bosak 1471
Adam
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 80% vs Bosak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 80% vs Bosak 60%
Adam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam -1 · Bosak +4
Bosak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.25 / Bosak 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Adam)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058383
Adam1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 56 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52
Bosak3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 41 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeAdam4wins
AwayBosak1wins
Adam leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam100%4 of 4
AwayBosakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam4Bosak1n = 5Adam took 4 of 5
S2Adam5Bosak0n = 5Adam took 5 of 5
S3Adam4Bosak1n = 5Adam took 4 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home480%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricAdamBosakA − BBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match33.825.2+8.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 366 vs 174 / 34551.4%50.4%188 / 366 vs 174 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.25/Bosak 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 29 · 18:30R. Adam—1111113V. Bosak—6960
WAug 10 · 20:00R. Adam—1111113V. Bosak—8370
WAug 9 · 14:30R. Adam—1111113V. Bosak—8860
LAug 7 · 18:00R. Adam—6118121V. Bosak—11911143
WMay 31 · 20:30R. Adam—1111113V. Bosak—5690
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113WAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162
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