TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058928
Played Sep 2Finished
Radim Adam
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111146111012––
Petr Osvald
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Petr Osvald at 54.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 3–9 Petr Osvald Radim Adam has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Osvald
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1569 vs Osvald 1508
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 80% vs Osvald 40%
Adam
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 80% vs Osvald 50%
Adam
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +2 · Osvald +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 2.50 / Osvald 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Osvald)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058928
Adam2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 38 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Osvald1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam2wins
AwayOsvald8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOsvald leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOsvald87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam2Osvald8n = 10Osvald took 8 of 10
S2Adam2Osvald8n = 10Osvald took 8 of 10
S3Adam4Osvald6n = 10Osvald took 6 of 10
S4Adam3Osvald3n = 6split evenly
S5Adam2Osvald3n = 5Osvald took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamOsvaldA − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.742.6−8.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 368 vs 101 / 20551.6%49.3%190 / 368 vs 101 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldAdam 2.50/Osvald 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 30 · 18:30R. Adam—87111162P. Osvald—111188113
LApr 24 · 10:30R. Adam—3460P. Osvald—1111113
LMar 18 · 09:58R. Adam—8101141P. Osvald—11129113
LMar 18 · 09:00R. Adam—117611102P. Osvald—811119123
WMar 14 · 21:30R. Adam—141168113P. Osvald—127111172
WMar 11 · 09:30R. Adam—712115123P. Osvald—1110811102
LFeb 15 · 22:30R. Adam—8970P. Osvald—1111113
LFeb 15 · 19:30R. Adam—8470P. Osvald—1111113
LFeb 8 · 13:58R. Adam—83111372P. Osvald—1111811113
LFeb 8 · 11:30R. Adam—10470P. Osvald—1211113
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:00R. Adam1.251012112113V. Bosak3.75121071192LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113WAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113LAug 27 · 20:30T. Milota1.611111123P. Osvald2.2064100LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
Upcoming Matches
R. Adam
Nothing scheduled
P. Osvald
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