TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077738
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111181311311311
Petr Osvald
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 86 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Petr Osvald at 59.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 8–16 Petr Osvald Marek Blejchar has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-16 in 24
Osvald
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1543 vs Osvald 1501
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 40% vs Osvald 60%
Osvald
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 40% vs Osvald 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -2 · Osvald -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 2.20 / Osvald 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Osvald)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077738
Blejchar2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Osvald1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 38 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar4wins
AwayOsvald6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOsvald leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar60%3 of 5
AwayOsvald80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar5Osvald5n = 10split evenly
S2Blejchar7Osvald3n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S3Blejchar3Osvald7n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S4Blejchar3Osvald6n = 9Osvald took 6 of 9
S5Blejchar1Osvald2n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharOsvaldB − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.1−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 649 vs 102 / 20747.8%49.3%310 / 649 vs 102 / 207Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldBlejchar 2.20/Osvald 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 08:30M. Blejchar—51111113P. Osvald—113991
LJul 23 · 19:30M. Blejchar—415671P. Osvald—111311113
LJun 9 · 06:00M. Blejchar—111456112P. Osvald—4121111133
WMay 16 · 14:00M. Blejchar—11511113P. Osvald—911681
LApr 30 · 19:30M. Blejchar—12147862P. Osvald—10121111113
WApr 26 · 15:00M. Blejchar—121183113P. Osvald—109111142
LApr 24 · 12:30M. Blejchar—311691P. Osvald—11811113
LMar 14 · 22:06M. Blejchar—461381P. Osvald—111111113
LMar 14 · 19:30M. Blejchar—5530P. Osvald—1111113
WMar 6 · 13:30M. Blejchar—111111123P. Osvald—6113101
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113LAug 27 · 20:30T. Milota1.611111123P. Osvald2.2064100LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
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