TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13021344
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161141210––––
Petr Osvald
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Milota to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Milota at 54.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 2–1 Petr Osvald Petr Osvald has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:50What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Milota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1472 vs Osvald 1498
Osvald
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 40% vs Osvald 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 50% vs Osvald 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota -1 · Osvald -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Milota) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milota form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 1.61 / Osvald 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Milota)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13021344
Milota1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 28 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it58% 19 of 33
Osvald2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 29 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMilota2wins
AwayOsvald1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMilota leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota1Osvald2n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
S2Milota3Osvald0n = 3Milota took 3 of 3
S3Milota1Osvald2n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMilotaOsvaldM − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.734.0+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 282 vs 99 / 20145.7%49.3%129 / 282 vs 99 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilotaMilota 1.61/Osvald 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Milota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Milota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMay 13 · 20:30T. Milota—511761P. Osvald—11411113
WMay 11 · 06:30T. Milota—711211113P. Osvald—11911982
WMar 23 · 07:30T. Milota—1111113P. Osvald—6560
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
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