TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077649
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Hrabec
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711411116115114
Petr Osvald
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hrabec above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 81 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 57.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hrabec 1–1 Petr Osvald Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrabec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1554 vs Osvald 1485
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Osvald 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 60% vs Osvald 40%
Hrabec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec -1 · Osvald +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.61 / Osvald 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Hrabec)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077649
Hrabec1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Osvald2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHrabec1wins
AwayOsvald1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHrabecOsvaldH − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match32.028.5+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 254 vs 103 / 20955.5%49.3%141 / 254 vs 103 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.61/Osvald 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 27 · 18:30J. Hrabec—1111113P. Osvald—3850
LAug 12 · 20:30J. Hrabec—116681P. Osvald—81111113
J. Hrabec10
LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:00J. Hrabec1.441211113M. Blejchar2.6310660WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142WSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WAug 27 · 21:30T. Milota1.6331191132J. Hrabec2.13117119113LAug 27 · 20:00L. Velicka1.57128118113J. Hrabec2.25101181142WAug 27 · 19:00T. Milota1.73911111192J. Hrabec2.00111372113
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113LAug 27 · 20:30T. Milota1.611111123P. Osvald2.2064100LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
Upcoming Matches
J. Hrabec
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P. Osvald
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