TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077949
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611117117––
Jan Hrabec
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Jan Hrabec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 67.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 7–7 Jan Hrabec Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hrabec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1558 vs Hrabec 1548
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 80% vs Hrabec 60%
Guliak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 70% vs Hrabec 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak +1 · Hrabec +3
Hrabec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabec form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.75 / Hrabec 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hrabec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077949
Guliak2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Hrabec1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak5wins
AwayHrabec5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak75%3 of 4
AwayHrabec66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak4Hrabec6n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S2Guliak3Hrabec7n = 10Hrabec took 7 of 10
S3Guliak4Hrabec6n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S4Guliak4Hrabec3n = 7Guliak took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakHrabecG − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.537.3−2.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 686 vs 142 / 25650.3%55.5%345 / 686 vs 142 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecGuliak 2.75/Hrabec 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 17:32R. Guliak—11112113J. Hrabec—861141
WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak—11611113J. Hrabec—911771
LAug 7 · 20:30R. Guliak—11710121J. Hrabec—61112143
WJun 27 · 13:30R. Guliak—111149113J. Hrabec—99111142
LJun 27 · 11:00R. Guliak—6780J. Hrabec—1111113
LJun 21 · 15:00R. Guliak—5710J. Hrabec—1111113
WJun 20 · 17:29R. Guliak—71311113J. Hrabec—1111851
WJun 20 · 16:30R. Guliak—9121111123J. Hrabec—111494102
LJun 14 · 09:30R. Guliak—8550J. Hrabec—1111113
LJun 14 · 07:00R. Guliak—981181J. Hrabec—11118113
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak1.5011811113T. Kraninger2.50711681WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak2.751111113V. Bosak1.408660
J. Hrabec10
LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 14:00J. Hrabec1.441211113M. Blejchar2.6310660WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142WSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WAug 27 · 21:30T. Milota1.6331191132J. Hrabec2.13117119113LAug 27 · 20:00L. Velicka1.57128118113J. Hrabec2.25101181142WAug 27 · 19:00T. Milota1.73911111192J. Hrabec2.00111372113
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