TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076614
Played Sep 5Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911118411114
Roman Guliak
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 54.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 2–1 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1535 vs Guliak 1533
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 80% vs Guliak 60%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 80% vs Guliak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny +1 · Guliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cerny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.53 / Guliak 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Cerny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076614
Cerny1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Guliak2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCerny2wins
AwayGuliak1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderCerny leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny66.7%2 of 3
AwayGuliakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny3Guliak0n = 3Cerny took 3 of 3
S2Cerny1Guliak2n = 3Guliak took 2 of 3
S3Cerny2Guliak1n = 3Cerny took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCernyGuliakC − GBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match40.336.3+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 90 vs 344 / 68445.6%50.3%41 / 90 vs 344 / 684Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.53/Guliak 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 14 · 20:59V. Cerny—1116113R. Guliak—91470
LAug 14 · 19:30V. Cerny—11651192R. Guliak—511117113
WFeb 28 · 21:30V. Cerny—11811113R. Guliak—911861
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113LAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak1.5011811113T. Kraninger2.50711681WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak2.751111113V. Bosak1.408660
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