TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065080
Played Sep 3Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161012117511119
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 8–4 Marek Blejchar Marek Blejchar has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:21What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Blejchar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Cerny
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1535 vs Blejchar 1543
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 80% vs Blejchar 40%
Cerny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 90% vs Blejchar 70%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny +3 · Blejchar +2
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.83 / Blejchar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cerny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065080
Cerny1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Blejchar1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCerny6wins
AwayBlejchar4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCerny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny75%3 of 4
AwayBlejchar50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S2Cerny6Blejchar4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10
S3Cerny5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S4Cerny4Blejchar4n = 8split evenly
S5Cerny3Blejchar1n = 4Cerny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernyBlejcharC − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.838.6+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 90 vs 310 / 64845.6%47.8%41 / 90 vs 310 / 648Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.83/Blejchar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny—1110115113M. Blejchar—61271192
LAug 22 · 17:29V. Cerny—481181M. Blejchar—11117113
WAug 22 · 16:30V. Cerny—811117113M. Blejchar—11391192
LJul 29 · 12:58V. Cerny—5139101M. Blejchar—111111123
LJul 29 · 12:00V. Cerny—7350M. Blejchar—1111113
LJul 21 · 06:00V. Cerny—118511112M. Blejchar—911114133
WJul 10 · 16:58V. Cerny—1111113M. Blejchar—7880
WJul 10 · 16:30V. Cerny—111113113M. Blejchar—181541
WJun 13 · 19:00V. Cerny—811711113M. Blejchar—11911792
WJun 4 · 12:58V. Cerny—131111113M. Blejchar—159731
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113LAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190
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