TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078112
Played Sep 5Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113117911411––
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 77 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 67.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 1–2 Vojtech Cerny Filip Zurek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1429 vs Cerny 1547
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -1 · Cerny +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.75 / Cerny 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Cerny)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078112
Zurek2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 116 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back33% 42 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Cerny1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZurek1wins
AwayCerny2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderCerny leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayCerny66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek0Cerny3n = 3Cerny took 3 of 3
S2Zurek1Cerny2n = 3Cerny took 2 of 3
S3Zurek1Cerny2n = 3Cerny took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricZurekCernyZ − CBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match34.340.3−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 572 vs 42 / 9150.4%46.2%288 / 572 vs 42 / 91Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyZurek 2.75/Cerny 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek—911711113V. Cerny—11711962
LAug 28 · 14:30F. Zurek—10750V. Cerny—1211113
LAug 25 · 10:00F. Zurek—991221V. Cerny—111110113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113LAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
Upcoming Matches
F. Zurek
Nothing scheduled
V. Cerny
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