TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470440
Played Aug 22Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 75.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 1–10 Vitezslav Bosak Roman Guliak has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:44What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bosak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Bosak
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1484 vs Bosak 1480
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 60% vs Bosak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 80% vs Bosak 50%
Guliak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak +1 · Bosak +3
Bosak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Bosak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.75 / Bosak 1.40
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Bosak)+8.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470440
Guliak2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 90 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Bosak1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 77 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak1wins
AwayBosak9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBosak leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak25%1 of 4
AwayBosak100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak4Bosak6n = 10Bosak took 6 of 10
S2Guliak2Bosak8n = 10Bosak took 8 of 10
S3Guliak6Bosak4n = 10Guliak took 6 of 10
S4Guliak0Bosak7n = 7Bosak took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakBosakG − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.040.8−6.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 690 vs 164 / 32450%50.6%345 / 690 vs 164 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakGuliak 2.75/Bosak 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak—1111113V. Bosak—8660
LAug 10 · 18:30R. Guliak—8913101V. Bosak—111111123
LAug 8 · 13:00R. Guliak—1181171V. Bosak—13119113
LAug 8 · 10:30R. Guliak—129961V. Bosak—101111113
LAug 1 · 10:30R. Guliak—6101121V. Bosak—11129113
LAug 1 · 06:00R. Guliak—6970V. Bosak—1111113
LJul 14 · 18:00R. Guliak—91411872V. Bosak—1112711113
LJun 6 · 09:30R. Guliak—149911V. Bosak—121111113
LJun 6 · 06:30R. Guliak—111211492V. Bosak—514911113
LMay 24 · 09:10R. Guliak—6350V. Bosak—1111113
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak1.5011811113T. Kraninger2.50711681
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113
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