TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083428
Played Sep 6Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012811––––
Radim Adam
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:19 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 76.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 1–5 Radim Adam Vitezslav Bosak has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Adam
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1387 vs Adam 1576
Adam
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 0% vs Adam 80%
Adam
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 20% vs Adam 80%
Adam
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -5 · Adam +2
Bosak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 3.50 / Adam 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Adam)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083428
Bosak3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 39 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Adam1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 41 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBosak1wins
AwayAdam5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderAdam leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdam100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak2Adam4n = 6Adam took 4 of 6
S2Bosak0Adam6n = 6Adam took 6 of 6
S3Bosak1Adam5n = 6Adam took 5 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away467%
These 6 meetings
MetricBosakAdamB − ABasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match29.235.8−6.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 354 vs 191 / 36849.4%51.9%175 / 354 vs 191 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamBosak 3.50/Adam 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 2 · 10:00V. Bosak—121071192R. Adam—1012112113
LAug 29 · 18:30V. Bosak—6960R. Adam—1111113
LAug 10 · 20:00V. Bosak—8370R. Adam—1111113
LAug 9 · 14:30V. Bosak—8860R. Adam—1111113
WAug 7 · 18:00V. Bosak—11911143R. Adam—6118121
LMay 31 · 20:30V. Bosak—5690R. Adam—1111113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:00R. Adam1.251012112113V. Bosak3.75121071192LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113WAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
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