TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041043
Played Aug 29Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1187111012911––
Radim Adam
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:59 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 61.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 10–17 Radim Adam Ivo Taichman has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:59What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Adam
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1405 vs Adam 1549
Adam
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Adam 100%
Adam
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 40% vs Adam 70%
Adam
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -1 · Adam +5
Adam
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 2.10 / Adam 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Adam)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041043
Taichman2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back27% 23 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back16% 8 of 50
Adam1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 54 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 40 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman5wins
AwayAdam5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman62.5%5 of 8
AwayAdamn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman8Adam2n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10
S2Taichman7Adam3n = 10Taichman took 7 of 10
S3Taichman4Adam6n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S4Taichman0Adam6n = 6Adam took 6 of 6
S5Taichman2Adam2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanAdamT − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.5−0.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 478 vs 188 / 36650.8%51.4%243 / 478 vs 188 / 366Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamTaichman 2.10/Adam 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman—1171091R. Adam—81112113
LAug 27 · 20:30I. Taichman—761571R. Adam—111113113
WAug 21 · 11:00I. Taichman—111369113R. Adam—511111192
WAug 20 · 08:58I. Taichman—121175143R. Adam—1061111122
LAug 20 · 08:30I. Taichman—11117182R. Adam—951111113
WAug 7 · 21:00I. Taichman—1111113R. Adam—9740
LAug 7 · 19:00I. Taichman—4940R. Adam—1111113
WJul 1 · 17:30I. Taichman—1515113R. Adam—131380
LJul 1 · 14:00I. Taichman—111161192R. Adam—541113113
WJun 19 · 16:59I. Taichman—1411113R. Adam—12280
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 19:30V. Bosak2.101113113I. Taichman1.6771180
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:00R. Adam1.251012112113V. Bosak3.75121071192LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
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