TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047771
Played Aug 31Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119711114119
Ivo Taichman
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 59.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 14–11 Ivo Taichman Ivo Taichman has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bosak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Bosak
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1441 vs Taichman 1431
Bosak
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 60% vs Taichman 40%
Bosak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 50% vs Taichman 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak +2 · Taichman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bosak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 1.80 / Taichman 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bosak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047771
Bosak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 78 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 60 of 76
Taichman1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 80 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBosak2wins
AwayTaichman8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosak66.7%2 of 3
AwayTaichman100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak3Taichman7n = 10Taichman took 7 of 10
S2Bosak2Taichman8n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10
S3Bosak5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S4Bosak2Taichman5n = 7Taichman took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBosakTaichmanB − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.238.4−3.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 343 vs 245 / 48050.2%51%172 / 343 vs 245 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakBosak 1.80/Taichman 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 18:00V. Bosak—361171I. Taichman—11115113
LAug 16 · 15:00V. Bosak—10980I. Taichman—1211113
LAug 15 · 09:30V. Bosak—811111192I. Taichman—118133113
LAug 15 · 07:00V. Bosak—11101031I. Taichman—81212113
LAug 8 · 11:00V. Bosak—8570I. Taichman—1111113
LAug 7 · 20:00V. Bosak—10111191I. Taichman—12136113
WJul 24 · 20:30V. Bosak—1111113I. Taichman—7690
WJul 18 · 08:59V. Bosak—128911113I. Taichman—101111832
LJul 18 · 08:00V. Bosak—1071141I. Taichman—12118113
LJul 10 · 12:30V. Bosak—991181I. Taichman—11118113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113LAug 29 · 19:30V. Bosak2.101113113I. Taichman1.6771180
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