TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047773
Played Aug 31Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115115711811118
Michal Koral
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Michal Koral at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 11–10 Michal Koral Michal Koral has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Koral
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1418 vs Koral 1500
Koral
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Koral 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 40% vs Koral 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman +1 · Koral -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 2.00 / Koral 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Koral)+1.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047773
Taichman2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 80 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 52
Koral1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman4wins
AwayKoral6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoral leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman66.7%2 of 3
AwayKoral71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman3Koral7n = 10Koral took 7 of 10
S2Taichman1Koral9n = 10Koral took 9 of 10
S3Taichman6Koral4n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S4Taichman4Koral4n = 8split evenly
S5Taichman3Koral1n = 4Taichman took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanKoralT − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.741.5−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 479 vs 101 / 19450.9%52.1%244 / 479 vs 101 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralTaichman 2.00/Koral 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 20:58I. Taichman—10911101M. Koral—12119123
WAug 27 · 19:30I. Taichman—11611113M. Koral—711751
LJul 22 · 14:30I. Taichman—10950M. Koral—1211113
LJul 7 · 13:30I. Taichman—66100M. Koral—1111123
LJul 7 · 11:00I. Taichman—1011128112M. Koral—1261011133
WJun 9 · 06:30I. Taichman—118911113M. Koral—61111882
LMay 28 · 13:00I. Taichman—1371181M. Koral—111113113
WMay 28 · 10:30I. Taichman—1281111113M. Koral—14117212
WMay 28 · 06:00I. Taichman—581411123M. Koral—1111128102
LMay 16 · 14:30I. Taichman—271361M. Koral—111111113
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113LAug 29 · 19:30V. Bosak2.101113113I. Taichman1.6771180
M. Koral10
WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 10:00M. Koral1.73661181V. Bosak2.0011115113LAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:30M. Koral1.80119119113V. Bosak1.9191181122LAug 30 · 19:00M. Koral1.7311961292L. Velicka2.007111110113
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