TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042081
Played Aug 30Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911118911112
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 92 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 55.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 4–5 Vitezslav Bosak Michal Koral has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1515 vs Bosak 1413
Koral
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 40% vs Bosak 60%
Bosak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 50% vs Bosak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral -1 · Bosak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.80 / Bosak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Koral)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042081
Koral1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 40 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Bosak1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 38 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back14% 9 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKoral4wins
AwayBosak5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBosak leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoraln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBosak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral2Bosak6n = 8Bosak took 6 of 8
S2Koral2Bosak6n = 8Bosak took 6 of 8
S3Koral4Bosak4n = 8split evenly
S4Koral2Bosak3n = 5Bosak took 3 of 5
S5Koral2Bosak1n = 3Koral took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKoralBosakK − BBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match36.038.1−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 193 vs 170 / 34152.3%49.9%101 / 193 vs 170 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.80/Bosak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 30 · 20:30M. Koral—119119113V. Bosak—91181122
WMay 28 · 08:00M. Koral—1111113V. Bosak—9650
WMar 10 · 09:59M. Koral—1011513113V. Bosak—124111182
LMar 10 · 09:30M. Koral—1091112102V. Bosak—1211310123
LMar 1 · 21:00M. Koral—5460V. Bosak—1111113
LOct 19 · 21:21M. Koral—11101161V. Bosak—13126113
LOct 19 · 18:30M. Koral—9280V. Bosak—1111113
LOct 4 · 20:30M. Koral—89940V. Bosak—111110104
M. Koral10
WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182LAug 31 · 10:00M. Koral1.73661181V. Bosak2.0011115113LAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082LAug 30 · 19:00M. Koral1.7311961292L. Velicka2.007111110113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162WAug 31 · 10:00M. Koral1.73661181V. Bosak2.0011115113
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