TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047777
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611115811––
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 56.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 4–5 Vitezslav Bosak Michal Koral has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Koral
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1515 vs Bosak 1413
Koral
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 60% vs Bosak 40%
Koral
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 50% vs Bosak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral -1 · Bosak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.73 / Bosak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Koral)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047777
Koral1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Bosak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 39 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back14% 9 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKoral4wins
AwayBosak5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBosak leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoraln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBosak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral2Bosak6n = 8Bosak took 6 of 8
S2Koral2Bosak6n = 8Bosak took 6 of 8
S3Koral4Bosak4n = 8split evenly
S4Koral2Bosak3n = 5Bosak took 3 of 5
S5Koral2Bosak1n = 3Koral took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKoralBosakK − BBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match36.038.1−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 193 vs 170 / 34152.3%49.9%101 / 193 vs 170 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.73/Bosak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 30 · 20:30M. Koral—119119113V. Bosak—91181122
WMay 28 · 08:00M. Koral—1111113V. Bosak—9650
WMar 10 · 09:59M. Koral—1011513113V. Bosak—124111182
LMar 10 · 09:30M. Koral—1091112102V. Bosak—1211310123
LMar 1 · 21:00M. Koral—5460V. Bosak—1111113
LOct 19 · 21:21M. Koral—11101161V. Bosak—13126113
LOct 19 · 18:30M. Koral—9280V. Bosak—1111113
LOct 4 · 20:30M. Koral—89940V. Bosak—111110104
M. Koral10
WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182LAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:30M. Koral1.80119119113V. Bosak1.9191181122LAug 30 · 19:00M. Koral1.7311961292L. Velicka2.007111110113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LAug 30 · 20:30M. Koral1.80119119113V. Bosak1.9191181122
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