TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078079
Played Sep 5Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191113911118118
Milan Jasek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Milan Jasek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 60.4%
102 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 9–5 Milan Jasek Milan Jasek has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Taichman
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1401 vs Jasek 1422
Jasek
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Jasek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 30% vs Jasek 60%
Jasek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -2 · Jasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Taichman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.61 / Jasek 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Taichman)+2.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078079
Taichman1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 99 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 75 of 100
Jasek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman9wins
AwayJasek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman100%5 of 5
AwayJasek20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman5Jasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Taichman5Jasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Taichman8Jasek2n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10
S4Taichman6Jasek2n = 8Taichman took 6 of 8
S5Taichman3Jasek0n = 3Taichman took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanJasekT − JBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.334.7+6.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanJasekBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 482 vs 120 / 24350.8%49.4%245 / 482 vs 120 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.61/Jasek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 20:30I. Taichman—119711123M. Jasek—811117102
WJun 27 · 11:30I. Taichman—31111133M. Jasek—1147111
WJun 25 · 20:30I. Taichman—813119113M. Jasek—111191152
WMay 30 · 10:00I. Taichman—13911113M. Jasek—1111761
WMay 18 · 18:30I. Taichman—1011117133M. Jasek—127911112
WMay 15 · 20:30I. Taichman—111111113M. Jasek—113431
WApr 20 · 19:30I. Taichman—11311113M. Jasek—711961
WMar 15 · 21:58I. Taichman—1111113M. Jasek—5620
LMar 15 · 21:30I. Taichman—7880M. Jasek—1111113
WFeb 26 · 21:30I. Taichman—81111113M. Jasek—116991
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113LAug 29 · 19:30V. Bosak2.101113113I. Taichman1.6771180
M. Jasek10
LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651LAug 24 · 20:30M. Jasek1.67911971Z. Zientek2.1011911113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Jasek1.531111113D. Mikula2.388730LAug 24 · 18:00F. Zurek1.7381114113M. Jasek2.001191261LAug 23 · 13:28M. Jasek1.8378110V. Cerny1.831111133WAug 23 · 12:30J. Stach1.53861291M. Jasek2.38111110113WAug 23 · 11:30M. Jasek1.621111113D. Mikula2.037750
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