TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077665
Played Sep 5Finished
Milan Jasek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611117411113811
Tomas Kraninger
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Kraninger to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Tomas Kraninger below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 83 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Kraninger at 56.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 4–11 Tomas Kraninger Milan Jasek has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kraninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Kraninger
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1399 vs Kraninger 1412
Kraninger
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 40% vs Kraninger 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 50% vs Kraninger 30%
Jasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek -1 · Kraninger +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kraninger) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 2.20 / Kraninger 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kraninger)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077665
Jasek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Kraninger1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJasek2wins
AwayKraninger8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKraninger leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek33.3%1 of 3
AwayKraninger85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek3Kraninger7n = 10Kraninger took 7 of 10
S2Jasek3Kraninger7n = 10Kraninger took 7 of 10
S3Jasek7Kraninger3n = 10Jasek took 7 of 10
S4Jasek2Kraninger6n = 8Kraninger took 6 of 8
S5Jasek1Kraninger3n = 4Kraninger took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJasekKraningerJ − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.2−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekKraningerBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 244 vs 114 / 22949.2%49.8%120 / 244 vs 114 / 229Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraningerJasek 2.20/Kraninger 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Kraninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kraninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 21:07M. Jasek—61050T. Kraninger—1112113
LAug 1 · 18:30M. Jasek—104111192T. Kraninger—121196113
LMay 31 · 13:30M. Jasek—551191T. Kraninger—11117113
LMay 31 · 12:30M. Jasek—119661T. Kraninger—51111113
LApr 9 · 20:30M. Jasek—12911652T. Kraninger—1011311113
LMar 17 · 22:00M. Jasek—1171291T. Kraninger—131110113
WMar 17 · 19:30M. Jasek—7111111113T. Kraninger—11741362
WOct 25 · 15:30M. Jasek—111193T. Kraninger—8760
LSep 28 · 09:30M. Jasek—8111431T. Kraninger—11516113
LSep 28 · 07:30M. Jasek—87111192T. Kraninger—111157113
M. Jasek10
LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882WAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651LAug 24 · 20:30M. Jasek1.67911971Z. Zientek2.1011911113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Jasek1.531111113D. Mikula2.388730LAug 24 · 18:00F. Zurek1.7381114113M. Jasek2.001191261LAug 23 · 13:28M. Jasek1.8378110V. Cerny1.831111133WAug 23 · 12:30J. Stach1.53861291M. Jasek2.38111110113WAug 23 · 11:30M. Jasek1.621111113D. Mikula2.037750
T. Kraninger10
LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 11:00T. Kraninger1.83961191I. Taichman1.8311118113LAug 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.501111411133T. Kraninger2.50913117112LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113LAug 28 · 16:30T. Kraninger1.801111111082F. Zurek1.91139812113WAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
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