TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030448
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomas Kraninger
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131191181012811
Filip Zurek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kraninger above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 104 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kraninger 3–5 Filip Zurek Tomas Kraninger has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kraninger
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Zurek
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kraninger 1388 vs Zurek 1459
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kraninger 40% vs Zurek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kraninger 20% vs Zurek 50%
Zurek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kraninger +1 · Zurek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zurek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraninger 1.80 / Zurek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zurek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030448
Kraninger1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 27 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Zurek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 113 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back32% 40 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKraninger3wins
AwayZurek5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderZurek leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKraninger75%3 of 4
AwayZurek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kraninger4Zurek4n = 8split evenly
S2Kraninger4Zurek4n = 8split evenly
S3Kraninger4Zurek4n = 8split evenly
S4Kraninger0Zurek3n = 3Zurek took 3 of 3
S5Kraninger1Zurek2n = 3Zurek took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricKraningerZurekK − ZBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.137.4−2.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraningerZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 224 vs 277 / 55150%50.3%112 / 224 vs 277 / 551Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekKraninger 1.80/Zurek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger—9980F. Zurek—1111113
LAug 28 · 16:30T. Kraninger—1111111082F. Zurek—139812113
LJul 25 · 18:30T. Kraninger—5970F. Zurek—1111113
WMay 29 · 16:30T. Kraninger—1111113F. Zurek—7970
WMay 20 · 19:00T. Kraninger—1112113F. Zurek—91080
LMay 16 · 19:00T. Kraninger—15850F. Zurek—1711113
WApr 19 · 15:30T. Kraninger—1111612113F. Zurek—49111452
LDec 6 · 20:00T. Kraninger—11811252F. Zurek—911611113
T. Kraninger10
LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 11:00T. Kraninger1.83961191I. Taichman1.8311118113LAug 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.501111411133T. Kraninger2.50913117112LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113WAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782LAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272WAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113
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