TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078106
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Kraninger
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012117811118117
Jiri Stach
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kraninger to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kraninger above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Kraninger at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kraninger 2–3 Jiri Stach Tomas Kraninger has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kraninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kraninger 1412 vs Stach 1422
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kraninger 40% vs Stach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kraninger 30% vs Stach 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kraninger +2 · Stach +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kraninger)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraninger 1.80 / Stach 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kraninger)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078106
Kraninger1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Stach1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back34% 17 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKraninger2wins
AwayStach3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderStach leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKraningern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStach100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kraninger2Stach3n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S2Kraninger2Stach3n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S3Kraninger2Stach3n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKraningerStachK − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.238.0−4.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraningerStachBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 228 vs 143 / 30750%46.6%114 / 228 vs 143 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraningerKraninger 1.80/Stach 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kraninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kraninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJun 19 · 17:28T. Kraninger—1111113J. Stach—7990
LJun 19 · 14:30T. Kraninger—9911141J. Stach—11116163
WMay 29 · 15:00T. Kraninger—121149163J. Stach—1091111142
LApr 14 · 14:30T. Kraninger—7930J. Stach—1111113
LFeb 28 · 13:30T. Kraninger—6670J. Stach—1111113
T. Kraninger10
LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 11:00T. Kraninger1.83961191I. Taichman1.8311118113LAug 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.501111411133T. Kraninger2.50913117112LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113LAug 28 · 16:30T. Kraninger1.801111111082F. Zurek1.91139812113WAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
J. Stach10
WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny1.40121177113J. Stach2.75106111152LAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek2.38116119113J. Stach1.5351161192LAug 25 · 11:30J. Stach2.50951141V. Cerny1.5011114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.