TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013584
Played Aug 25Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210116711711115
Jiri Stach
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 61.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 4–1 Jiri Stach Jiri Stach has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:07What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Cerny
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1470 vs Stach 1439
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 80% vs Stach 40%
Cerny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 70% vs Stach 40%
Cerny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny +4 · Stach -2
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Cerny) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.40 / Stach 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Cerny)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013584
Cerny1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite45% won 18 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it58% 14 of 24
Stach2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back35% 18 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeCerny4wins
AwayStach1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderCerny leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny80%4 of 5
AwayStachn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny5Stach0n = 5Cerny took 5 of 5
S2Cerny5Stach0n = 5Cerny took 5 of 5
S3Cerny2Stach3n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S4Cerny1Stach2n = 3Stach took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricCernyStachC − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match39.232.2+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyStachBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 82 vs 147 / 31142.7%47.3%35 / 82 vs 147 / 311Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.40/Stach 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny—121177113J. Stach—106111152
WAug 25 · 11:30V. Cerny—11114113J. Stach—951141
WAug 23 · 11:00V. Cerny—1111113J. Stach—9790
LAug 12 · 08:58V. Cerny—111110852J. Stach—391211113
WAug 12 · 08:30V. Cerny—1111113J. Stach—7470
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113
J. Stach10
WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek2.38116119113J. Stach1.5351161192LAug 25 · 11:30J. Stach2.50951141V. Cerny1.5011114113
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