TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052425
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Stach
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911114114117––
Pavel Varecha
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Stach above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Stach at 57.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stach 2–1 Pavel Varecha Pavel Varecha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stach 1411 vs Varecha 1417
Varecha
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 0% vs Varecha 60%
Varecha
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 30% vs Varecha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach -5 · Varecha +2
Stach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.73 / Varecha 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stach)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052425
Stach1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 33 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Varecha2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 28 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStach2wins
AwayVarecha1wins
Stach leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach2Varecha1n = 3Stach took 2 of 3
S2Stach2Varecha1n = 3Stach took 2 of 3
S3Stach1Varecha2n = 3Varecha took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricStachVarechaS − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.030.0+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 305 vs 109 / 21646.2%50.5%141 / 305 vs 109 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachStach 1.73/Varecha 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 25 · 10:30J. Stach—1112113P. Varecha—91070
LJul 31 · 07:00J. Stach—58100P. Varecha—1111123
WSep 26 · 06:00J. Stach—11119113P. Varecha—781141
J. Stach10
WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny1.40121177113J. Stach2.75106111152LAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek2.38116119113J. Stach1.5351161192LAug 25 · 11:30J. Stach2.50951141V. Cerny1.5011114113
P. Varecha10
LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek1.449480P. Varecha2.631111113LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113LAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770WAug 29 · 15:30P. Varecha2.203111111113V. Bosak1.6111991362
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