TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051460
Played Sep 1Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411811––––
Pavel Varecha
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:35 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 66.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 18–10 Pavel Varecha Pavel Varecha has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-10 in 28
Zurek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1419 vs Varecha 1419
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Varecha 20%
Zurek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Varecha 20%
Zurek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +1 · Varecha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.44 / Varecha 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zurek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051460
Zurek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 89 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Varecha2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek5wins
AwayVarecha5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek100%5 of 5
AwayVarecha100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek5Varecha5n = 10split evenly
S2Zurek8Varecha2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S3Zurek7Varecha3n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Zurek1Varecha4n = 5Varecha took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekVarechaZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.130.7+4.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 567 vs 112 / 22250.3%50.5%285 / 567 vs 112 / 222Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.44/Varecha 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:29F. Zurek—511681P. Varecha—11711113
LSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek—9480P. Varecha—1111113
WAug 25 · 12:59F. Zurek—1111113P. Varecha—6570
LAug 25 · 11:00F. Zurek—761171P. Varecha—11116113
WAug 21 · 07:30F. Zurek—1111113P. Varecha—7990
LJul 31 · 09:29F. Zurek—91111792P. Varecha—116411113
WJul 31 · 08:00F. Zurek—11128113P. Varecha—4101141
LJul 27 · 18:30F. Zurek—811118102P. Varecha—113411123
WJun 25 · 08:00F. Zurek—1111113P. Varecha—5840
WJun 19 · 07:30F. Zurek—1111113P. Varecha—9850
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
P. Varecha10
LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681LSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113LAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770WAug 29 · 15:30P. Varecha2.203111111113V. Bosak1.6111991362
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