TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058901
Played Sep 2Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117411911117115
Pavel Varecha
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timePavel Varecha to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Pavel Varecha at 63.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 10–11 Pavel Varecha Zbynek Zientek has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Varecha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1355 vs Varecha 1419
Varecha
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 20% vs Varecha 80%
Varecha
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 30% vs Varecha 50%
Varecha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek +1 · Varecha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Varecha) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 2.50 / Varecha 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Varecha)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058901
Zientek2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog53% won 105 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back35% 39 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back19% 11 of 58
Varecha1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 45 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZientek6wins
AwayVarecha4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZientek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek83.3%5 of 6
AwayVarecha75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek6Varecha4n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S2Zientek6Varecha4n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S3Zientek4Varecha6n = 10Varecha took 6 of 10
S4Zientek4Varecha5n = 9Varecha took 5 of 9
S5Zientek3Varecha2n = 5Zientek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZientekVarechaZ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.6+3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 387 vs 111 / 21849.4%50.9%191 / 387 vs 111 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarechaZientek 2.50/Varecha 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Varecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 09:30Z. Zientek—111110113P. Varecha—761271
WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek—114911113P. Varecha—71111752
LJul 15 · 06:00Z. Zientek—71050P. Varecha—1112113
LJul 9 · 06:30Z. Zientek—571151P. Varecha—11118113
LJul 7 · 07:00Z. Zientek—1111117102P. Varecha—135311123
WJul 1 · 07:00Z. Zientek—11112113P. Varecha—341171
WJun 25 · 06:30Z. Zientek—911119123P. Varecha—114411102
WJun 4 · 08:30Z. Zientek—11115113P. Varecha—881181
LJun 1 · 06:00Z. Zientek—11117972P. Varecha—761111113
WMay 28 · 08:30Z. Zientek—119117113P. Varecha—51131182
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161LAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113
P. Varecha10
LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681LSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek1.449480P. Varecha2.631111113LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113LAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770WAug 29 · 15:30P. Varecha2.203111111113V. Bosak1.6111991362
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