TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041825
Played Aug 30Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811611811––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 33–37 Filip Zurek Zbynek Zientek has won 33 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-37 in 70
Zurek
Correct
gap of 4 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1319 vs Zurek 1423
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 40% vs Zurek 20%
Zientek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 40% vs Zurek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek -1 · Zurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 2.00 / Zurek 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zurek)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041825
Zientek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 102 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back34% 38 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back19% 11 of 57
Zurek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 91 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it74% 68 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZientek4wins
AwayZurek6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek40%2 of 5
AwayZurek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek5Zurek5n = 10split evenly
S2Zientek6Zurek4n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S3Zientek3Zurek7n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Zientek4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S5Zientek3Zurek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZientekZurekZientek − ZurekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.942.1−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 383 vs 283 / 56349.1%50.3%188 / 383 vs 283 / 563Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZientek 2.00/Zurek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek—118681F. Zurek—91111113
LAug 24 · 19:30Z. Zientek—913791F. Zurek—111111113
LJul 6 · 10:30Z. Zientek—1112781F. Zurek—131011113
WJun 25 · 09:29Z. Zientek—71111123F. Zurek—1178101
LJun 25 · 07:30Z. Zientek—11114362F. Zurek—791111113
WJun 16 · 08:00Z. Zientek—117311113F. Zurek—91111562
WJun 11 · 13:00Z. Zientek—119911113F. Zurek—51111662
LJun 11 · 11:30Z. Zientek—11511832F. Zurek—411811113
WJun 11 · 09:30Z. Zientek—711114113F. Zurek—11471142
LJun 11 · 07:30Z. Zientek—81141142F. Zurek—115114113
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161LAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.