TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063233
Played Sep 2Finished
Pavel Varecha
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7116111210711––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timePavel Varecha to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Varecha above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Varecha at 56.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Varecha 11–9 Zbynek Zientek Zbynek Zientek has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Varecha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Varecha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varecha 1433 vs Zientek 1341
Varecha
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varecha 60% vs Zientek 40%
Varecha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varecha 60% vs Zientek 40%
Varecha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varecha +1 · Zientek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Varecha) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecha 1.60 / Zientek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Varecha)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063233
Varecha1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 43 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Zientek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 102 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back34% 38 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back19% 11 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarecha4wins
AwayZientek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZientek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarecha75%3 of 4
AwayZientek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varecha4Zientek6n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S2Varecha4Zientek6n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S3Varecha5Zientek5n = 10split evenly
S4Varecha5Zientek3n = 8Varecha took 5 of 8
S5Varecha2Zientek3n = 5Zientek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarechaZientekV − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.439.8−3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarechaZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 221 vs 190 / 38650.7%49.2%112 / 221 vs 190 / 386Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarechaVarecha 1.60/Zientek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.1%
Varecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 07:30P. Varecha—71111752Z. Zientek—114911113
WJul 15 · 06:00P. Varecha—1112113Z. Zientek—71050
WJul 9 · 06:30P. Varecha—11118113Z. Zientek—571151
WJul 7 · 07:00P. Varecha—135311123Z. Zientek—1111117102
LJul 1 · 07:00P. Varecha—341171Z. Zientek—11112113
LJun 25 · 06:30P. Varecha—114411102Z. Zientek—911119123
LJun 4 · 08:30P. Varecha—881181Z. Zientek—11115113
WJun 1 · 06:00P. Varecha—761111113Z. Zientek—11117972
LMay 28 · 08:30P. Varecha—51131182Z. Zientek—119117113
LMay 18 · 11:00P. Varecha—7850Z. Zientek—1111113
P. Varecha10
WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681LSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek1.449480P. Varecha2.631111113LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113LAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770WAug 29 · 15:30P. Varecha2.203111111113V. Bosak1.6111991362
Z. Zientek10
LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161LAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113
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