TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035882
Played Aug 29Finished
Martin Jaksa
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117117––––
Pavel Varecha
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Varecha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Jaksa above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Pavel Varecha at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:20What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jaksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jaksa 1420 vs Varecha 1438
Varecha
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jaksa 40% vs Varecha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jaksa 20% vs Varecha 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jaksa -1 · Varecha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jaksa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJaksa 1.67 / Varecha 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jaksa)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035882
Jaksa1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 14 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it62% 13 of 21
Varecha2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJaksaVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 72 vs 107 / 21241.7%50.5%30 / 72 vs 107 / 212Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JaksaJaksa 1.67/Varecha 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Jaksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jaksa won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Jaksa10
LAug 29 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73101111113M. Jaksa2.00128871LAug 29 · 15:00M. Jaksa2.0011611452M. Blejchar1.73811511113WAug 29 · 14:00V. Bosak2.00115991M. Jaksa1.7351111113LAug 22 · 17:14M. Jaksa2.2591070R. Adam1.571112113LAug 22 · 16:00R. Adam1.619101111153M. Jaksa2.20111248132WAug 22 · 15:00V. Cerny1.9111890M. Jaksa1.801311113LAug 22 · 14:30M. Jaksa1.838111111102M. Blejchar1.83119713123LAug 15 · 09:10J. Hrabec1.801111511113M. Jaksa1.9113411492LAug 15 · 08:30V. Bosak2.50115313113M. Jaksa1.50911111192LAug 15 · 07:30M. Jaksa1.9187111172J. Hrabec1.80111147113
P. Varecha10
LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681LSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek1.449480P. Varecha2.631111113LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113WAug 29 · 15:30P. Varecha2.203111111113V. Bosak1.6111991362
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