TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434174
Played Aug 15Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1195113111311119
Martin Jaksa
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:37 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Jaksa to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Martin Jaksa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Jaksa at 60.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 0–2 Martin Jaksa Vitezslav Bosak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:37What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jaksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1481 vs Jaksa 1470
Bosak
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 40% vs Jaksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 40% vs Jaksa 60%
Jaksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -1 · Jaksa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jaksa) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 2.50 / Jaksa 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Jaksa)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434174
Bosak2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 32 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Jaksa1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 16 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it65% 15 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBosak0wins
AwayJaksa2wins
Jaksa leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricBosakJaksaB − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.539.0−10.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakJaksaBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 311 vs 28 / 6450.5%43.8%157 / 311 vs 28 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JaksaBosak 2.50/Jaksa 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Jaksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 24 · 14:00V. Bosak—8760M. Jaksa—1111113
LApr 18 · 14:00V. Bosak—7101361M. Jaksa—111211113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162
M. Jaksa10
LAug 29 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73101111113M. Jaksa2.00128871WAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770LAug 29 · 15:00M. Jaksa2.0011611452M. Blejchar1.73811511113WAug 29 · 14:00V. Bosak2.00115991M. Jaksa1.7351111113LAug 22 · 17:14M. Jaksa2.2591070R. Adam1.571112113LAug 22 · 16:00R. Adam1.619101111153M. Jaksa2.20111248132WAug 22 · 15:00V. Cerny1.9111890M. Jaksa1.801311113LAug 22 · 14:30M. Jaksa1.838111111102M. Blejchar1.83119713123LAug 15 · 09:10J. Hrabec1.801111511113M. Jaksa1.9113411492LAug 15 · 07:30M. Jaksa1.9187111172J. Hrabec1.80111147113
Upcoming Matches
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