TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035956
Played Aug 29Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115511911911––
Martin Jaksa
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Jaksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Martin Jaksa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Martin Jaksa at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 1–2 Martin Jaksa Vitezslav Bosak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:31What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jaksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1446 vs Jaksa 1418
Bosak
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 40% vs Jaksa 20%
Bosak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 60% vs Jaksa 20%
Bosak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -2 · Jaksa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jaksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaksa form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 2.00 / Jaksa 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jaksa)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035956
Bosak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 35 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Jaksa1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 14 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it62% 13 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBosak1wins
AwayJaksa2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJaksa leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak1Jaksa2n = 3Jaksa took 2 of 3
S2Bosak0Jaksa3n = 3Jaksa took 3 of 3
S3Bosak1Jaksa2n = 3Jaksa took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBosakJaksaB − JBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.343.0−9.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakJaksaBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 329 vs 29 / 7050.5%41.4%166 / 329 vs 29 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JaksaBosak 2.00/Jaksa 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jaksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jaksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 15 · 08:30V. Bosak—115313113M. Jaksa—911111192
LJul 24 · 14:00V. Bosak—8760M. Jaksa—1111113
LApr 18 · 14:00V. Bosak—7101361M. Jaksa—111211113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162
M. Jaksa10
LAug 29 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73101111113M. Jaksa2.00128871WAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770LAug 29 · 15:00M. Jaksa2.0011611452M. Blejchar1.73811511113LAug 22 · 17:14M. Jaksa2.2591070R. Adam1.571112113LAug 22 · 16:00R. Adam1.619101111153M. Jaksa2.20111248132WAug 22 · 15:00V. Cerny1.9111890M. Jaksa1.801311113LAug 22 · 14:30M. Jaksa1.838111111102M. Blejchar1.83119713123LAug 15 · 09:10J. Hrabec1.801111511113M. Jaksa1.9113411492LAug 15 · 08:30V. Bosak2.50115313113M. Jaksa1.50911111192LAug 15 · 07:30M. Jaksa1.9187111172J. Hrabec1.80111147113
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