TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12469588
Played Aug 22Finished
Martin Jaksa
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111911711131012
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:36 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Jaksa above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 103 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 63.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Martin Jaksa 1–5 Marek Blejchar Martin Jaksa has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jaksa 1451 vs Blejchar 1459
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jaksa 20% vs Blejchar 60%
Blejchar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jaksa 40% vs Blejchar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jaksa -4 · Blejchar +2
Jaksa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaksa form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJaksa 1.83 / Blejchar 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blejchar)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12469588
Jaksa1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Blejchar1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJaksa1wins
AwayBlejchar5wins
2 of 6 to a deciderBlejchar leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJaksan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBlejchar100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jaksa1Blejchar5n = 6Blejchar took 5 of 6
S2Jaksa4Blejchar2n = 6Jaksa took 4 of 6
S3Jaksa4Blejchar2n = 6Jaksa took 4 of 6
S4Jaksa1Blejchar4n = 5Blejchar took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricJaksaBlejcharJ − BBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match39.843.2−3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJaksaBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 66 vs 298 / 63942.4%46.6%28 / 66 vs 298 / 639Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharJaksa 1.83/Blejchar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LFeb 27 · 15:00M. Jaksa—611111172M. Blejchar—119813113
LJan 17 · 10:30M. Jaksa—6711101M. Blejchar—11118123
WJan 17 · 08:30M. Jaksa—1411113M. Blejchar—12690
LDec 26 · 12:00M. Jaksa—9411111M. Blejchar—11118123
LMar 29 · 15:00M. Jaksa—1011121162M. Blejchar—129148113
LMar 5 · 15:30M. Jaksa—8111181M. Blejchar—11713113
M. Jaksa10
LAug 29 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73101111113M. Jaksa2.00128871WAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770LAug 29 · 15:00M. Jaksa2.0011611452M. Blejchar1.73811511113WAug 29 · 14:00V. Bosak2.00115991M. Jaksa1.7351111113LAug 22 · 17:14M. Jaksa2.2591070R. Adam1.571112113LAug 22 · 16:00R. Adam1.619101111153M. Jaksa2.20111248132WAug 22 · 15:00V. Cerny1.9111890M. Jaksa1.801311113LAug 15 · 09:10J. Hrabec1.801111511113M. Jaksa1.9113411492LAug 15 · 08:30V. Bosak2.50115313113M. Jaksa1.50911111192LAug 15 · 07:30M. Jaksa1.9187111172J. Hrabec1.80111147113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WAug 29 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73101111113M. Jaksa2.00128871WAug 29 · 15:00M. Jaksa2.0011611452M. Blejchar1.73811511113
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