TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470457
Played Aug 22Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811911––––
Martin Jaksa
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Jaksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Martin Jaksa below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 63 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Martin Jaksa at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 0–1 Martin Jaksa Vojtech Cerny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jaksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1387 vs Jaksa 1418
Jaksa
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 40% vs Jaksa 0%
Cerny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 40% vs Jaksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny +2 · Jaksa -5
Jaksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jaksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaksa form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.91 / Jaksa 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jaksa)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470457
Cerny1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 6 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Jaksa1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 14 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it62% 13 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCerny0wins
AwayJaksa1wins
Jaksa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricCernyJaksaC − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match28.035.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyJaksaBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 74 vs 29 / 7037.8%41.4%28 / 74 vs 29 / 70Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JaksaCerny 1.91/Jaksa 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jaksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jaksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 15:00V. Cerny—11890M. Jaksa—1311113
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113
M. Jaksa10
LAug 29 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73101111113M. Jaksa2.00128871WAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770LAug 29 · 15:00M. Jaksa2.0011611452M. Blejchar1.73811511113WAug 29 · 14:00V. Bosak2.00115991M. Jaksa1.7351111113LAug 22 · 17:14M. Jaksa2.2591070R. Adam1.571112113LAug 22 · 16:00R. Adam1.619101111153M. Jaksa2.20111248132LAug 22 · 14:30M. Jaksa1.838111111102M. Blejchar1.83119713123LAug 15 · 09:10J. Hrabec1.801111511113M. Jaksa1.9113411492LAug 15 · 08:30V. Bosak2.50115313113M. Jaksa1.50911111192LAug 15 · 07:30M. Jaksa1.9187111172J. Hrabec1.80111147113
Upcoming Matches
V. Cerny
M. Jaksa
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