TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058836
Played Sep 2Finished
Pavel Varecha
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151012117118––
Eduard Sionkala
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timePavel Varecha to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Varecha above · Eduard Sionkala below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Pavel Varecha at 54.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Varecha 7–8 Eduard Sionkala Pavel Varecha has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Varecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varecha 1424 vs Sionkala 1329
Varecha
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varecha 60% vs Sionkala 20%
Varecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varecha 50% vs Sionkala 20%
Varecha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varecha -1 · Sionkala +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varecha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecha 1.73 / Sionkala 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Varecha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058836
Varecha1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 43 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Sionkala2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 14 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarecha6wins
AwaySionkala4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVarecha leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarecha100%3 of 3
AwaySionkala57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varecha3Sionkala7n = 10Sionkala took 7 of 10
S2Varecha4Sionkala6n = 10Sionkala took 6 of 10
S3Varecha5Sionkala5n = 10split evenly
S4Varecha6Sionkala0n = 6Varecha took 6 of 6
S5Varecha2Sionkala1n = 3Varecha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarechaSionkalaV − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.435.7+0.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarechaSionkalaBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 220 vs 72 / 14950.5%48.3%111 / 220 vs 72 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarechaVarecha 1.73/Sionkala 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Varecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Varecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 06:30P. Varecha—111110113E. Sionkala—951291
LMay 19 · 09:00P. Varecha—71190E. Sionkala—1113113
WMay 19 · 06:00P. Varecha—139911113E. Sionkala—111111652
LMay 18 · 13:00P. Varecha—6640E. Sionkala—1111113
WMay 18 · 10:30P. Varecha—1111113E. Sionkala—8640
WApr 30 · 08:30P. Varecha—781111113E. Sionkala—11118662
LApr 27 · 10:00P. Varecha—38100E. Sionkala—1111123
WApr 9 · 13:30P. Varecha—21111113E. Sionkala—116391
WApr 9 · 10:00P. Varecha—61211113E. Sionkala—1110771
LMar 17 · 08:00P. Varecha—108111272E. Sionkala—1211810113
P. Varecha10
LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681LSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek1.449480P. Varecha2.631111113LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113LAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770WAug 29 · 15:30P. Varecha2.203111111113V. Bosak1.6111991362
E. Sionkala10
WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LJul 31 · 08:59J. Stach2.20811117113E. Sionkala1.6111281172LJul 31 · 08:30J. Stach2.38311411123E. Sionkala1.53116116102LJul 31 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.6761220F. Zurek2.101114113LJul 31 · 06:30P. Varecha1.83111110113E. Sionkala1.83951291LJun 12 · 09:00E. Sionkala3.5051050D. Tobola1.281112113WJun 12 · 08:30J. Stach2.1031000E. Sionkala1.671112113LJun 12 · 07:30E. Sionkala2.251111981P. Osvald1.5751311113
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