TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12332020
Played Jul 31Finished
Eduard Sionkala
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111214211––––
Filip Zurek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:10 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeEduard Sionkala to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEduard Sionkala above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 56 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Eduard Sionkala at 55.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Sionkala 6–7 Filip Zurek Eduard Sionkala has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:10What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sionkala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sionkala 1337 vs Zurek 1455
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sionkala 20% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sionkala 50% vs Zurek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sionkala -2 · Zurek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sionkala) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSionkala 1.67 / Zurek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sionkala)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12332020
Sionkala1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 30 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it68% 21 of 31
Zurek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 115 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back29% 35 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSionkala4wins
AwayZurek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSionkala66.7%4 of 6
AwayZurek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sionkala6Zurek4n = 10Sionkala took 6 of 10
S2Sionkala5Zurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Sionkala4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S4Sionkala4Zurek3n = 7Sionkala took 4 of 7
S5Sionkala1Zurek4n = 5Zurek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSionkalaZurekS − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.8−2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSionkalaZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 159 vs 258 / 51546.5%50.1%74 / 159 vs 258 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaSionkala 1.67/Zurek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 07:30E. Sionkala—61220F. Zurek—1114113
WJun 8 · 07:30E. Sionkala—1111113F. Zurek—9850
WMay 27 · 12:00E. Sionkala—11117113F. Zurek—471181
LMay 26 · 07:00E. Sionkala—1111111352F. Zurek—139915113
LMay 19 · 07:30E. Sionkala—11911652F. Zurek—511711113
LMay 18 · 11:30E. Sionkala—61381142F. Zurek—1111117113
WMay 14 · 06:00E. Sionkala—113511113F. Zurek—71111972
LApr 30 · 06:00E. Sionkala—114114102F. Zurek—811911123
WApr 27 · 13:30E. Sionkala—11119113F. Zurek—761141
LApr 27 · 11:30E. Sionkala—4690F. Zurek—1111113
E. Sionkala10
WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952LSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781WSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LJul 31 · 08:59J. Stach2.20811117113E. Sionkala1.6111281172LJul 31 · 08:30J. Stach2.38311411123E. Sionkala1.53116116102LJul 31 · 06:30P. Varecha1.83111110113E. Sionkala1.83951291LJun 12 · 09:00E. Sionkala3.5051050D. Tobola1.281112113WJun 12 · 08:30J. Stach2.1031000E. Sionkala1.671112113LJun 12 · 07:30E. Sionkala2.251111981P. Osvald1.5751311113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
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