TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063234
Played Sep 2Finished
Eduard Sionkala
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811118811119115
Alexandr Virag
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexandr Virag to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEduard Sionkala above · Alexandr Virag below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 93 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Alexandr Virag at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Sionkala 11–4 Alexandr Virag Alexandr Virag has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sionkala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Sionkala
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sionkala 1343 vs Virag 1328
Sionkala
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sionkala 20% vs Virag 40%
Virag
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sionkala 20% vs Virag 60%
Virag
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sionkala -1 · Virag +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sionkala) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSionkala 1.44 / Virag 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sionkala)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063234
Sionkala1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 27 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29
Virag2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 11 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSionkala8wins
AwayVirag2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSionkala leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSionkala85.7%6 of 7
AwayVirag33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sionkala7Virag3n = 10Sionkala took 7 of 10
S2Sionkala5Virag5n = 10split evenly
S3Sionkala7Virag3n = 10Sionkala took 7 of 10
S4Sionkala5Virag1n = 6Sionkala took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSionkalaViragS − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.832.7+6.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSionkalaViragBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 151 vs 136 / 28748.3%47.4%73 / 151 vs 136 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaSionkala 1.44/Virag 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sionkala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala—811811113A. Virag—11811952
WSep 2 · 07:00E. Sionkala—1112113A. Virag—91020
LJun 8 · 06:00E. Sionkala—17116101A. Virag—151311123
WMay 27 · 11:30E. Sionkala—71111113A. Virag—117861
WApr 16 · 08:30E. Sionkala—111311113A. Virag—715191
WApr 9 · 12:30E. Sionkala—11911113A. Virag—411581
WApr 8 · 08:59E. Sionkala—1111113A. Virag—8990
WApr 8 · 08:00E. Sionkala—1211113A. Virag—10890
WMar 17 · 07:30E. Sionkala—11811123A. Virag—7113101
LMar 3 · 12:00E. Sionkala—51180A. Virag—1113113
E. Sionkala10
LSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781WSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LJul 31 · 08:59J. Stach2.20811117113E. Sionkala1.6111281172LJul 31 · 08:30J. Stach2.38311411123E. Sionkala1.53116116102LJul 31 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.6761220F. Zurek2.101114113LJul 31 · 06:30P. Varecha1.83111110113E. Sionkala1.83951291LJun 12 · 09:00E. Sionkala3.5051050D. Tobola1.281112113WJun 12 · 08:30J. Stach2.1031000E. Sionkala1.671112113LJun 12 · 07:30E. Sionkala2.251111981P. Osvald1.5751311113
A. Virag10
WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143LAug 22 · 08:30M. Kolek2.101111113A. Virag1.679760WAug 22 · 07:30A. Virag2.001141110113F. Zurek1.7361141272WAug 22 · 06:30T. Hrabec1.408101121A. Virag2.7511127113LAug 12 · 13:30A. Virag1.5596111172M. Kolek2.20111199113WAug 12 · 12:30M. Kolek2.25481191A. Virag1.5711118113WAug 12 · 11:30A. Virag1.6791111113Z. Zientek2.10118821
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