TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12403906
Played Aug 12Finished
Alexandr Virag
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118118112––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeAlexandr Virag to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexandr Virag above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 71 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Alexandr Virag at 58.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Alexandr Virag 17–8 Zbynek Zientek Zbynek Zientek has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Virag
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-8 in 25
Virag
Correct
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Virag 1343 vs Zientek 1338
Virag
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Virag 60% vs Zientek 20%
Virag
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Virag 50% vs Zientek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Virag -1 · Zientek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Virag)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVirag 1.67 / Zientek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Virag)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12403906
Virag1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 61 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Zientek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 101 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back33% 38 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back18% 11 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVirag7wins
AwayZientek3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVirag leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVirag100%3 of 3
AwayZientek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Virag3Zientek7n = 10Zientek took 7 of 10
S2Virag4Zientek6n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S3Virag8Zientek2n = 10Virag took 8 of 10
S4Virag4Zientek5n = 9Zientek took 5 of 9
S5Virag5Zientek1n = 6Virag took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricViragZientekV − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.3+2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricViragZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 297 vs 173 / 35349.2%49%146 / 297 vs 173 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ViragVirag 1.67/Zientek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Virag · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Virag won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 11:30A. Virag—91111113Z. Zientek—118821
WAug 11 · 06:00A. Virag—711111113Z. Zientek—11681192
LAug 6 · 08:00A. Virag—811891Z. Zientek—11711113
WJul 28 · 08:00A. Virag—118119123Z. Zientek—411711102
WJul 20 · 12:59A. Virag—11811113Z. Zientek—911681
LJul 20 · 11:00A. Virag—8840Z. Zientek—1111113
LJun 8 · 07:00A. Virag—81111772Z. Zientek—118911113
WJun 6 · 13:29A. Virag—931211113Z. Zientek—111110682
WJun 6 · 12:00A. Virag—1091111113Z. Zientek—12113562
WJun 2 · 12:30A. Virag—119114113Z. Zientek—71111162
A. Virag10
LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143LAug 22 · 08:30M. Kolek2.101111113A. Virag1.679760WAug 22 · 07:30A. Virag2.001141110113F. Zurek1.7361141272WAug 22 · 06:30T. Hrabec1.408101121A. Virag2.7511127113LAug 12 · 13:30A. Virag1.5596111172M. Kolek2.20111199113WAug 12 · 12:30M. Kolek2.25481191A. Virag1.5711118113
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161
Upcoming Matches
A. Virag1 of 1 neutral
Z. Zientek
Nothing scheduled
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