TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470481
Played Aug 22Finished
Tomas Hrabec
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012117211––
Alexandr Virag
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Hrabec to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Hrabec above · Alexandr Virag below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 72 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Tomas Hrabec at 71.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrabec 7–4 Alexandr Virag Alexandr Virag has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hrabec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Hrabec
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1394 vs Virag 1371
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Virag 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 70% vs Virag 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec -2 · Virag -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Virag form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.40 / Virag 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Hrabec)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470481
Hrabec1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Virag2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabec6wins
AwayVirag4wins
Hrabec leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabec100%6 of 6
AwayVirag100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec6Virag4n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S2Hrabec5Virag5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrabec6Virag4n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S4Hrabec4Virag3n = 7Hrabec took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabecViragH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.634.1+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecViragBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 224 vs 137 / 28753.1%47.7%119 / 224 vs 137 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.40/Virag 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Virag won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 06:30T. Hrabec—8101121A. Virag—11127113
WAug 8 · 07:30T. Hrabec—1115113A. Virag—71380
WMar 14 · 10:30T. Hrabec—11911113A. Virag—511891
WMar 14 · 07:00T. Hrabec—1111113A. Virag—4690
LFeb 21 · 14:00T. Hrabec—13960A. Virag—1511113
LFeb 21 · 11:00T. Hrabec—71110121A. Virag—11612143
WFeb 7 · 14:02T. Hrabec—11411113A. Virag—811761
LFeb 7 · 13:00T. Hrabec—881131A. Virag—11118113
WJan 24 · 14:26T. Hrabec—11117113A. Virag—771171
WJan 24 · 12:00T. Hrabec—11115113A. Virag—961191
T. Hrabec10
LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec2.00116911113M. Kolek1.7381111752LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113LAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek1.6711911113T. Hrabec2.10711971
A. Virag10
LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143LAug 22 · 08:30M. Kolek2.101111113A. Virag1.679760WAug 22 · 07:30A. Virag2.001141110113F. Zurek1.7361141272LAug 12 · 13:30A. Virag1.5596111172M. Kolek2.20111199113WAug 12 · 12:30M. Kolek2.25481191A. Virag1.5711118113WAug 12 · 11:30A. Virag1.6791111113Z. Zientek2.10118821
Upcoming Matches
T. Hrabec
Nothing scheduled
A. Virag1 of 1 neutral
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