TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470424
Played Aug 22Finished
Alexandr Virag
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1164111141012117
Filip Zurek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlexandr Virag above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 87 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Filip Zurek at 56.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Alexandr Virag 17–13 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Virag
Correct
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Virag 1371 vs Zurek 1433
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Virag 60% vs Zurek 100%
Zurek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Virag 70% vs Zurek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Virag +1 · Zurek +5
Zurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVirag 2.00 / Zurek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zurek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470424
Virag2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Zurek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 86 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVirag4wins
AwayZurek6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVirag28.6%2 of 7
AwayZurek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Virag7Zurek3n = 10Virag took 7 of 10
S2Virag2Zurek8n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S3Virag5Zurek5n = 10split evenly
S4Virag4Zurek4n = 8split evenly
S5Virag3Zurek4n = 7Zurek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricViragZurekV − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.543.5−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricViragZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 287 vs 270 / 53947.7%50.1%137 / 287 vs 270 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekVirag 2.00/Zurek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Virag won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 07:30A. Virag—1141110113F. Zurek—61141272
LJun 26 · 13:00A. Virag—11541182F. Zurek—911117113
LJun 26 · 10:00A. Virag—111311982F. Zurek—915911113
LJun 19 · 06:00A. Virag—7930F. Zurek—1111113
LJun 16 · 12:00A. Virag—117771F. Zurek—61111113
WJun 8 · 09:08A. Virag—111311133F. Zurek—117117112
LJun 8 · 08:30A. Virag—1510114142F. Zurek—1312611163
WJun 6 · 10:00A. Virag—1051211113F. Zurek—121110772
WJun 5 · 12:00A. Virag—1111113F. Zurek—8650
LJun 2 · 13:30A. Virag—111111172F. Zurek—711136113
A. Virag10
LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143LAug 22 · 08:30M. Kolek2.101111113A. Virag1.679760WAug 22 · 06:30T. Hrabec1.408101121A. Virag2.7511127113LAug 12 · 13:30A. Virag1.5596111172M. Kolek2.20111199113WAug 12 · 12:30M. Kolek2.25481191A. Virag1.5711118113WAug 12 · 11:30A. Virag1.6791111113Z. Zientek2.10118821
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
Upcoming Matches
A. Virag1 of 1 neutral
F. Zurek1 of 1 neutral
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