TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035740
Played Aug 29Finished
Tomas Kraninger
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611118911––
Ivo Taichman
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kraninger above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kraninger 7–7 Ivo Taichman Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kraninger 1395 vs Taichman 1416
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kraninger 20% vs Taichman 40%
Taichman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kraninger 20% vs Taichman 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kraninger -3 · Taichman +1
Kraninger
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Taichman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraninger 1.83 / Taichman 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Taichman)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035740
Kraninger1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Taichman1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKraninger6wins
AwayTaichman4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKraninger leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKraninger83.3%5 of 6
AwayTaichman75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kraninger6Taichman4n = 10Kraninger took 6 of 10
S2Kraninger5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S3Kraninger7Taichman3n = 10Kraninger took 7 of 10
S4Kraninger4Taichman4n = 8split evenly
S5Kraninger2Taichman2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKraningerTaichmanK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.9−0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraningerTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 225 vs 241 / 47149.8%51.2%112 / 225 vs 241 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanKraninger 1.83/Taichman 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 17:03T. Kraninger—12112572I. Taichman—1051111113
WAug 6 · 14:00T. Kraninger—1161410113I. Taichman—811121282
WAug 1 · 19:00T. Kraninger—11113113I. Taichman—6111181
WJul 18 · 06:00T. Kraninger—611515113I. Taichman—119111392
WJun 21 · 06:30T. Kraninger—1311113I. Taichman—11690
WJun 5 · 17:30T. Kraninger—1111113I. Taichman—9380
WJun 5 · 15:00T. Kraninger—11211113I. Taichman—711581
LMar 24 · 17:58T. Kraninger—5101181I. Taichman—11128113
LMar 24 · 17:30T. Kraninger—11116111I. Taichman—13911133
LFeb 28 · 13:59T. Kraninger—117111482I. Taichman—1311912113
T. Kraninger10
LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.501111411133T. Kraninger2.50913117112LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113LAug 28 · 16:30T. Kraninger1.801111111082F. Zurek1.91139812113WAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113
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