TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481338
Played Aug 24Finished
Milan Jasek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911711––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMilan Jasek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Milan Jasek at 55.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 1–1 Zbynek Zientek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:57What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1437 vs Zientek 1374
Jasek
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 60% vs Zientek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 60% vs Zientek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek +1 · Zientek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.67 / Zientek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jasek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481338
Jasek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 39 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Zientek2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 103 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back34% 38 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back20% 11 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJasek1wins
AwayZientek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricJasekZientekJ − ZBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match28.525.5+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 249 vs 185 / 37350.6%49.6%126 / 249 vs 185 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.67/Zientek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 6 · 12:58M. Jasek—1111113Z. Zientek—5640
LJul 6 · 12:30M. Jasek—12840Z. Zientek—1411113
M. Jasek10
LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882WAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651WAug 24 · 19:00M. Jasek1.531111113D. Mikula2.388730LAug 24 · 18:00F. Zurek1.7381114113M. Jasek2.001191261LAug 23 · 13:28M. Jasek1.8378110V. Cerny1.831111133WAug 23 · 12:30J. Stach1.53861291M. Jasek2.38111110113WAug 23 · 11:30M. Jasek1.621111113D. Mikula2.037750
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102LAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651
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