TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481358
Played Aug 24Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191412116––
Milan Jasek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Milan Jasek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 82 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Filip Zurek at 56.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 4–2 Milan Jasek Milan Jasek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Zurek
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1433 vs Jasek 1436
Jasek
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Jasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Jasek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +2 · Jasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zurek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.73 / Jasek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Zurek)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481358
Zurek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 86 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Jasek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 21 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZurek4wins
AwayJasek2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderZurek leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek100%3 of 3
AwayJasek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek3Jasek3n = 6split evenly
S2Zurek2Jasek4n = 6Jasek took 4 of 6
S3Zurek5Jasek1n = 6Zurek took 5 of 6
S4Zurek2Jasek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricZurekJasekZ − JBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.836.8+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekJasekBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 539 vs 125 / 24750.1%50.6%270 / 539 vs 125 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.73/Jasek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 27 · 19:00F. Zurek—137128183M. Jasek—11111011162
WJul 6 · 11:00F. Zurek—91111113M. Jasek—116471
WJun 27 · 13:08F. Zurek—13911113M. Jasek—1111751
LJun 27 · 10:30F. Zurek—7912101M. Jasek—111110123
LJun 23 · 21:30F. Zurek—9780M. Jasek—1111113
WJun 23 · 20:00F. Zurek—1111113M. Jasek—5990
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
M. Jasek10
LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882WAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651LAug 24 · 20:30M. Jasek1.67911971Z. Zientek2.1011911113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Jasek1.531111113D. Mikula2.388730LAug 23 · 13:28M. Jasek1.8378110V. Cerny1.831111133WAug 23 · 12:30J. Stach1.53861291M. Jasek2.38111110113WAug 23 · 11:30M. Jasek1.621111113D. Mikula2.037750
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