TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041041
Played Aug 29Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171311118––––
Ivo Taichman
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 54.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 14–11 Ivo Taichman Ivo Taichman has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:00What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Taichman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Bosak
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1403 vs Taichman 1442
Taichman
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 20% vs Taichman 60%
Taichman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 30% vs Taichman 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -1 · Taichman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 2.10 / Taichman 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Taichman)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041041
Bosak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 35 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Taichman1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 101 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it90% 51 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 75 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBosak2wins
AwayTaichman8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosak66.7%2 of 3
AwayTaichman100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak3Taichman7n = 10Taichman took 7 of 10
S2Bosak2Taichman8n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10
S3Bosak5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S4Bosak2Taichman5n = 7Taichman took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBosakTaichmanB − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.238.4−3.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 334 vs 243 / 47550%51.2%167 / 334 vs 243 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanBosak 2.10/Taichman 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 18:00V. Bosak—361171I. Taichman—11115113
LAug 16 · 15:00V. Bosak—10980I. Taichman—1211113
LAug 15 · 09:30V. Bosak—811111192I. Taichman—118133113
LAug 15 · 07:00V. Bosak—11101031I. Taichman—81212113
LAug 8 · 11:00V. Bosak—8570I. Taichman—1111113
LAug 7 · 20:00V. Bosak—10111191I. Taichman—12136113
WJul 24 · 20:30V. Bosak—1111113I. Taichman—7690
WJul 18 · 08:59V. Bosak—128911113I. Taichman—101111832
LJul 18 · 08:00V. Bosak—1071141I. Taichman—12118113
LJul 10 · 12:30V. Bosak—991181I. Taichman—11118113
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113
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