TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083072
Played Sep 6Finished
Radim Adam
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181715118––––
Patrik Hanel
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 70 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Radim Adam at 61.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 4–1 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Adam
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1580 vs Hanel 1542
Adam
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 60% vs Hanel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 80% vs Hanel 50%
Adam
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +1 · Hanel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.57 / Hanel 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Adam)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083072
Adam1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 41 of 51
Hanel2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 25 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeAdam4wins
AwayHanel1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderAdam leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam100%4 of 4
AwayHaneln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam4Hanel1n = 5Adam took 4 of 5
S2Adam4Hanel1n = 5Adam took 4 of 5
S3Adam3Hanel2n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
S4Adam1Hanel2n = 3Hanel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricAdamHanelA − HBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.632.8+7.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 371 vs 51 / 10452%49%193 / 371 vs 51 / 104Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.57/Hanel 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam—1117113P. Hanel—81580
LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam—711961P. Hanel—11311113
WAug 29 · 19:00R. Adam—111110113P. Hanel—741281
WAug 13 · 20:00R. Adam—1113118113P. Hanel—21571192
WAug 10 · 18:00R. Adam—1111123P. Hanel—75100
R. Adam10
WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:00R. Adam1.251012112113V. Bosak3.75121071192LAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113WAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261WAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman1.57811871P. Hanel2.2511911113LAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel1.837611101V. Bosak1.8311114123
Upcoming Matches
R. Adam
Nothing scheduled
P. Hanel
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