TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041042
Played Aug 29Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115311118113––
Patrik Hanel
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 63 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 14–7 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Taichman
Correct
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1431 vs Hanel 1432
Hanel
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Hanel 60%
Hanel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 30% vs Hanel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -2 · Hanel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Taichman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.80 / Hanel 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Taichman)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041042
Taichman1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 101 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it90% 51 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 75 of 101
Hanel1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 24 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman5wins
AwayHanel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman80%4 of 5
AwayHanel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman5Hanel5n = 10split evenly
S2Taichman6Hanel4n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S3Taichman5Hanel5n = 10split evenly
S4Taichman4Hanel5n = 9Hanel took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanHanelT − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.3+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 474 vs 46 / 9651.1%47.9%242 / 474 vs 46 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.80/Hanel 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 20:58I. Taichman—991261P. Hanel—111110113
LAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman—811871P. Hanel—11911113
LAug 6 · 16:30I. Taichman—1041111112P. Hanel—121199133
WJul 17 · 15:30I. Taichman—1111113P. Hanel—5930
WJul 9 · 21:30I. Taichman—11116113P. Hanel—471181
WJul 9 · 20:00I. Taichman—12711113P. Hanel—1011571
LJul 8 · 18:00I. Taichman—13101591P. Hanel—111217113
WJul 6 · 17:30I. Taichman—81211113P. Hanel—1110791
LJul 6 · 16:30I. Taichman—6118101P. Hanel—11611123
WJul 3 · 20:00I. Taichman—111197123P. Hanel—591111102
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261WAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman1.57811871P. Hanel2.2511911113LAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel1.837611101V. Bosak1.8311114123
Upcoming Matches
I. Taichman
Nothing scheduled
P. Hanel
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