TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13031779
Played Aug 28Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119811711––
Patrik Hanel
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 60.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 14–6 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Taichman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Taichman
Wrong
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1428 vs Hanel 1420
Taichman
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Hanel 20%
Taichman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 40% vs Hanel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -1 · Hanel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Taichman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.57 / Hanel 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Taichman)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13031779
Taichman1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 100 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 74 of 100
Hanel2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman5wins
AwayHanel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman80%4 of 5
AwayHanel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman5Hanel5n = 10split evenly
S2Taichman6Hanel4n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S3Taichman4Hanel6n = 10Hanel took 6 of 10
S4Taichman4Hanel4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanHanelT − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.3−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 469 vs 45 / 9551.2%47.4%240 / 469 vs 45 / 95Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.57/Hanel 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman—811871P. Hanel—11911113
LAug 6 · 16:30I. Taichman—1041111112P. Hanel—121199133
WJul 17 · 15:30I. Taichman—1111113P. Hanel—5930
WJul 9 · 21:30I. Taichman—11116113P. Hanel—471181
WJul 9 · 20:00I. Taichman—12711113P. Hanel—1011571
LJul 8 · 18:00I. Taichman—13101591P. Hanel—111217113
WJul 6 · 17:30I. Taichman—81211113P. Hanel—1110791
LJul 6 · 16:30I. Taichman—6118101P. Hanel—11611123
WJul 3 · 20:00I. Taichman—111197123P. Hanel—591111102
LJun 30 · 17:00I. Taichman—6610P. Hanel—1111113
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261LAug 28 · 19:30P. Hanel1.837611101V. Bosak1.8311114123
Upcoming Matches
I. Taichman
Nothing scheduled
P. Hanel
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